
INTRODUCTION
How accurate are the growth predictions from CACTOS (Wensel and Daugherty,
1985) or CRYPTOS (Wensel, Krumland, and Meerschaert)? Region wide estimates
of the behavior of the CACTOS growth models have been made at the individual
tree level by Wensel and Koehler (1986). With the COMPARE program, users of
CACTOS and CRYPTOS can do their own validation at the plot level for stands
where sufficient remeasurement data are available.
The program COMPARE, described herein, was prepared to compute the relative
difference between the actual and CACTOS/CRYPTOS-predicted change in basal
area, board foot volume, and cubic foot volume. As illustrated in Figure 1,
the actual and predicted growth values are obtained by running permanent plot
data through CACTOS /CRYPTOS to produce comparable yield files. COMPARE then
takes the difference between the actual and predicted growth of each
permanent plot. Average differences are then computed for all plots being
compared.
DESCRIPTION OF INPUT FILES
The input files for COMPARE are the yield files produced by CACTOS /CRYPTOS.
There are two yield files required for each plot to be compared, one for the
initial measurement and one for the remeasurement. The initial measurement
(Appendix Table A) should be grown for the amount of time elapsed between
measurements (without quintupling). To project the stand to a period that
is not a multiple of 5 years, see the "Advanced Topics" section in either the
CACTOS or CRYPTOS User's Guide (ibid.). The second file (Appendix Table B)
is automatically produced (with no growth) when the remeasurement is read
into CACTOS.
An additional master input file is required. This file contains keyword,
"CACTOS" or "CRYPTOS" to indicate which simulator is being used, and the
names of the input yield files and the optional output filenames for
individual plot comparisons. The format is illustrated in Table 1 for eight
demonstration plots on a hypothetical stand using CACTOS.
There should be one line of filenames for each plot simulated in CACTOS/
CRYPTOS. If the output file is left blank, individual plot comparisons are
skipped, while the aggregate comparison is accumulated as usual. After all
of the files are processed the program will prompt the user for a file name
into which the results of the aggregate comparison are written.
Table 1. Sample input file containing input and output filenames.
column
12345...... 16........ 31........
CACTOS
DEMO1.YD1 DEMO1.YD2 DEMO1.CMP
DEMO2.YD1 DEMO2.YD2 DEMO2.CMP
DEMO3.YD1 DEMO3.YD2 DEMO3.CMP
DEMO4.YD1 DEMO4.YD2 DEMO4.CMP
DEMO5.YD1 DEMO5.YD2 DEMO5.CMP
DEMO6.YD1 DEMO6.YD2 DEMO6.CMP
DEMO7.YD1 DEMO7.YD2 DEMO7.CMP
DEMO8.YD1 DEMO8.YD2 DEMO8.CMP
OUTPUT FILE FORMATS
There are two possible types of output files produced by COMPARE.
The first contains the average comparison figures for the entire set of
remeasurements. The second (optional) contains the file by file comparisons
made for each plot. Files containing the plot-by-plot comparison are
produced only if a filename is specified in the third column of the filename
input file. An example of an individual plot comparison is shown in
Appendix Table C.
The aggregate comparison file, shown in Appendix Table D, is produced
every time the program is run. It is named by the user when the program
finishes processing the specified yield files. This file reports the
following average statistics: initial stocking, actual and predicted annual
growth, residuals and their standard errors, and the number of plots on
which those averages are based. These figures are reported for basal area
(sq.ft./acre), board foot volume (MBF/acre), and cubic foot volume
(MCF/acre). The composite table is computed by averaging the individual
yield files. Standard errors are provided to show the statistical
significance of the differences.
Appendix Table A. Sample CACTOS yield file for initial measurement.
YIELD SUMMARY: units = english
Cofile version 4.0 9/28/88 Contains new coefficients.
stand label = Compare Demo 1.1
min. DBH merch top
cubic ft. .0 4
board ft. 8.0 6
species site init. age
Pond. Pine 85. 0.
Sugar Pine 83. 0.
Cedar misc 70. 0.
Douglas fir 84. 0.
White Fir 75. 0.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
species et dbar tpa basar cvol bdvol bagro cvgro bdgro
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sugar Pine .00 31.76 15.0 82.5 3.00 18.77 .0 .00 .00
Cedar misc .00 39.33 10.0 84.4 2.56 15.34 .0 .00 .00
Douglas fir .00 30.40 5.0 25.2 .95 5.84 .0 .00 .00
White Fir .00 10.84 165.0 105.7 2.84 14.81 .0 .00 .00
Totals .00 16.73 195.0 297.7 9.35 54.76 .0 .00 .00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sugar Pine 5.00 33.40 15.0 91.3 3.46 22.13 8.8 .45 3.36
Cedar misc 5.00 40.33 10.0 88.7 2.74 16.58 4.3 .18 1.25
Douglas Fir 5.00 32.06 5.0 28.0 1.11 6.98 2.8 .16 1.14
White Fir 5.00 11.52 165.0 119.5 3.41 18.29 13.9 .57 3.48
Totals 5.00 17.55 195.0 327.5 10.71 63.99 29.8 1.36 9.23
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Appendix Table B. Sample remeasurement yield file produced by CACTOS.
YIELD SUMMARY: units = english
Cofile version 4.0 9/28/88 Contains new coefficients.
stand label = Compare Demo 1.2
min. DBH merch top
cubic ft. .0 6
board ft. 8.0 6
species site init. age
Pond. Pine 85. 0.
Sugar Pine 83. 0.
Cedar misc 70. 0.
Douglas fir 84. 0.
White Fir 75. 0.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
species et dbar tpa basar cvol bdvol bagro cvgro bdgro
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sugar Pine .00 33.49 15.0 91.8 3.37 21.34 .0 .00 .00
Cedar misc .00 39.64 10.0 85.7 2.63 15.87 .0 .00 .00
Douglas Fir .00 30.00 5.0 24.5 .99 6.17 .0 .00 .00
White Fir .00 11.50 165.0 119.0 3.42 18.49 .0 .00 .00
Totals .00 17.37 195.0 321.0 10.40 61.87 .0 .00 .00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Appendix Table C. Sample of individual comparison yield file.
YIELD SUMMARY: units = english
Cofile version 4.0 9/28/88 Contains new coefficients.
stand label = Compare Demo 1.1 and Compare Demo 1.2
min. DBH merch top
cubic ft. .0 6
board ft. 8.0 6
species site init. age
Pond. Pine 85. 0.
Sugar Pine 83. 0.
Cedar misc 70. 0.
Douglas-fir 84. 0.
White Fir 75. 0.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
species et dbar tpa basar cvol bdvol bagro cvgro bdgro
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sugar Pine .00 31.76 15.0 82.5 3.00 18.77 .0 .00 .00
Cedar misc .00 39.33 10.0 84.4 2.56 15.34 .0 .00 .00
Douglas Fir .00 30.40 5.0 25.2 .95 5.84 .0 .00 .00
White Fir .00 10.84 165.0 105.7 2.84 14.81 .0 .00 .00
Totals .00 16.73 195.0 297.7 9.35 54.76 .0 .00 .00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sugar Pine 5.00 33.40 15.0 91.3 3.46 22.13 8.8 .45 3.36
Cedar misc 5.00 40.33 10.0 88.7 2.74 16.58 4.3 .18 1.25
Douglas Fir 5.00 32.06 5.0 28.0 1.11 6.98 2.8 .16 1.14
White Fir 5.00 11.52 165.0 119.5 3.41 18.29 13.9 .57 3.48
Totals 5.00 17.55 195.0 327.5 10.71 63.99 29.8 1.36 9.23
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTUAL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sugar Pine .00 33.49 15.0 91.8 3.37 21.34 .0 .00 .00
Cedar misc .00 39.64 10.0 85.7 2.63 15.87 .0 .00 .00
Douglas Fir .00 30.00 5.0 24.5 .99 6.17 .0 .00 .00
White Fir .00 11.50 165.0 119.0 3.42 18.49 .0 .00 .00
Totals .00 17.37 195.0 321.0 10.40 61.87 .0 .00 .00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Appendix Table D. Example of final aggregate comparison.
CACTOS Yield File Comparison
Filename: COMPARE.OUT
All Growth Figures are PER ACRE PER YEAR
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
BASAL AREA
initial actual predicted residual std. err. no.
species stocking growth growth % of pred. % of pred. plots
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pond. Pine 97.780 1.984 2.696 -26.4% 9.0% 5.
Sugar Pine 79.150 2.235 2.000 11.8% 10.2% 4.
Cedar misc 51.475 .983 .965 1.8% 16.0% 8.
Douglas Fir 77.080 1.736 1.884 -7.9% 8.0% 5.
White Fir 46.200 1.225 1.365 -10.3% 9.3% 4.
Totals 223.425 5.040 5.512 -8.6% 5.4% 8.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
CUBIC VOLUME
initial actual predicted residual std. err. no.
species stocking growth growth % of pred. % of pred. plots ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pond. Pine 3.086 .101 .141 -28.4% 12.8% 5.
Sugar Pine 2.543 .095 .094 1.1% 11.9% 4.
Cedar misc 1.154 .029 .028 3.5% 19.4% 8.
Douglas Fir 2.820 .096 .107 -10.4% 5.9% 5.
White Fir 1.288 .041 .056 -27.0% 31.2% 4.
Totals 6.762 .219 .257 -14.7% 6.2% 8.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BOARD FOOT VOLUME
initial actual predicted residual std. err. no.
species stocking growth growth % of pred. % of pred. plots
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pond. PIne 16.800 .660 .924 -28.6% 12.6% 5.
Sugar Pine 15.333 .661 .662 -.2% 13.0% 4.
Cedar misc 6.330 .178 .164 8.5% 23.1% 8.
Douglas Fir 17.390 .668 .741 -9.8% 6.6% 5.
White Fir 6.198 .224 .323 -30.5% 37.9% 4.
Totals 38.465 1.451 1.697 -14.5% 6.4% 8.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Compare User's Guide Research Note No. 17
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